The dollar’s autumn rampage just hit its first real speed bump. After five straight weeks of gains that carried EUR/USD from 1.15 to the edge of 1.11, the greenback stalled on Monday — and the euro pounced. The pair dipped to 1.1114 in early trade, its lowest since early 2025, before buyers stormed back and […]
Monday dashboard — every major market on one screen, as October’s second week begins. FX The dollar is the story of the year and the month. EUR/USD at 1.1157 is at its weakest since early 2025, having broken 1.12 with authority last week. USD/JPY at 158.6 is the one pair resisting the dollar’s advance, still […]
The third quarter of 2026 is in the books, and the scoreboard is unambiguous: the US dollar beat everything. Look at the numbers. The Federal Reserve’s own H.10 data shows the euro buying just 1.1259 dollars as of October 2 — down from 1.1367 a week earlier and miles below the 1.17 handle where it […]
The fourth quarter starts this week, and the dollar enters it in its strongest position of the year. Here are the four scenarios that will decide whether that lasts. Scenario one: US soft landing confirmed (dollar mildly lower) If US growth cools just enough to bring the Fed back toward the table without alarming anyone, […]
Sunday chartbook — a quick map of the levels that matter into the week’s final stretch. FX EUR/USD: 1.1354 is the floor (June/September triple-tested); below it, 1.1325 then 1.1200. Resistance: 1.1480, the breakdown that started the current leg. USD/JPY: 152.90 below is the year’s most important line; 158.99 above is the recovery ceiling. GBP/USD: 1.3210 […]