August has arrived, and the market is doing what it usually does this month: nothing, loudly. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1556, up marginally from last week’s close of 1.1544. USD/JPY at 157.89 has spent four sessions bouncing between 156.8 and 159.0 without conviction. GBP/USD at 1.3491 is exactly where it ended July. Three pairs, three […]
July will be remembered as the month the yen finally pushed back. USD/JPY ends the month at 157.58, down over 6 yen from Monday’s peak of 163.79 — a stunning reversal that wiped out eight weeks of carry-trade gains in four days. The euro, meanwhile, posts its best month since January: EUR/USD closes July at […]
Big moves change markets in ways that outlast the move itself. The yen’s 870-pip round trip this week has reset positioning, repriced risk, and created a new trading landscape. Here’s how I’d navigate it. Rule one: respect the new range until proven otherwise USD/JPY is trading around 157.6, roughly in the middle of its new […]
It finally happened. After weeks of warnings in this column about crowded yen positioning, USD/JPY has reversed violently — from an intraweek high of 163.94 on Monday to a low of 155.26 by Friday, before settling at 157.58. That’s an 870-pip intraweek range, the largest since 2024, and it has obliterated a month of carry […]
The yen finally said “enough.” After six weeks of relentless strength, the dollar topped out against the yen on Wednesday at 163.98 — just two pips shy of 164 — and sellers stepped in hard. USD/JPY has since pulled back to around 160.2, and the speed of the reversal has everyone asking the same question: […]