Big moves change markets in ways that outlast the move itself. The yen’s 870-pip round trip this week has reset positioning, repriced risk, and created a new trading landscape. Here’s how I’d navigate it. Rule one: respect the new range until proven otherwise USD/JPY is trading around 157.6, roughly in the middle of its new […]
It finally happened. After weeks of warnings in this column about crowded yen positioning, USD/JPY has reversed violently — from an intraweek high of 163.94 on Monday to a low of 155.26 by Friday, before settling at 157.58. That’s an 870-pip intraweek range, the largest since 2024, and it has obliterated a month of carry […]
The yen finally pushed back, and it pushed hard. USD/JPY crashed from Monday’s open at 163.79 to a Friday low of 155.26, settling the week at 157.58 — an 830-pip collapse that ranks among the sharpest yen rallies in years. The carry trade, rebuilt so confidently through mid-July, has been gutted for the second time […]
The yen finally said “enough.” After six weeks of relentless strength, the dollar topped out against the yen on Wednesday at 163.98 — just two pips shy of 164 — and sellers stepped in hard. USD/JPY has since pulled back to around 160.2, and the speed of the reversal has everyone asking the same question: […]
163.98. USD/JPY touched that number on Wednesday — matching April’s spike high almost to the pip — before sellers finally appeared. The question hanging over every trading desk on the planet this morning: was that the market, or was that Tokyo? Why 164 matters politically Japan’s government faces domestic pressure over import costs — energy, […]